
Oil Falls Below $112 as Iran Talks Shift the War Premium
Brent fell $1.51 to $111.92 a barrel as Iran peace talks unwind the war premium. The arithmetic says roughly $43 of every barrel is still fear.
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Brent fell $1.51 to $111.92 a barrel as Iran peace talks unwind the war premium. The arithmetic says roughly $43 of every barrel is still fear.

The Fed rate decision for November 2026 lands Wednesday: a third straight hold at 3.75%-4.00% looks likely. Here is what could change the outcome.

The S&P 500 starts election week at 7,580.07. Three catalysts in five days — the vote, the Fed, payrolls — decide if the 14.5% post-midterm pattern pays out.

Gold should have thrived on war, falling yields and a softer dollar this week. Instead, the gold price fell below $4,000 and closed its worst October since 2008.

Headline PCE inflation held at 3.6% in September 2026 while the Fed stayed on hold — and two dissents have put a December hike back on the table.

Our gold price forecast this week examines why central bank demand and steadier rate expectations keep a firm floor under bullion heading into November 2026.

The latest CPI data shows inflation picking up again, complicating the Fed's path and squeezing household budgets.

The Iran war is adding $11 billion a month to Europe's oil import bill, per OilPrice, as tanker flows reroute and Europe readies a release of 42 million barrels. Inside the eurozone's growing terms-of-trade problem.

Equity benchmarks traded in tight ranges this week as investors balanced resilient corporate earnings against a still-cautious tone from major central banks.

While goods prices have cooled in recent months, services inflation continues to drive overall price increases, creating a persistent core inflation challenge for central banks.